Actually, I think it's kind of...
an interesting question...you have identified a couple of key variables
# shares and a vague outcome variable....$100,000 but do you mean to "cash a ticket for $100k" or to "post 100k in profit"? And, in each case are you talking before or after taxes? You also, you need to know your "buy-in" or avg share price....once you have those figs you may not know the answer, but you'll have a start on understanding the "realism" of your expectations and time frames...if you just want to cash a ticket for $100,000...you'll need $2 a share...but you'll need to average out at $2...so your actual bet is the stock will go a bit higher than $2...you can estimate that amount by developing an exit plan....
You also have an idea of the "experts" timeline...Short Term $.70...You dont know what "short term" means could mean 3-6 months ez...which is it...the rec came out in March, so if its closer to 3 they could be talking few weeks after Tucson, but if its closer to its August...if its 6 and .$70 in August you need to look 2-3 years out to expect to avg out at $2+ with 50k shares....You could cut your time frame down by flipping along the way...but you run the risk of becoming a scumbag pumper/basher....but the best way to reduce your time frame if this is your reality is to buy NOW! Because your theory says we begin a leg up sometime between now and Tucson at the end of the month and it could end in the .50-.70 range if the rec meant "3 months" AND they are close in their estimate. So quibbling over teenies this week is counter productive to your long term goal of cashing a $100k ticket as quickly as possible....
Alternatively, if you just want to cash a ticket and dont mind waiting...you can do that too....just realize it will be 2-3 yrs before you are likely to cash out....However, also realize if you actual objective is to walk with $100k after taxes and your initial buy-in....well, that will take a lot longer.....But if all things CBIS should come to pass momentum alone could carry you across the finish line in a much shorter time frame...but that would be not an expectation, just a gift from jah...in other words keep your time frames realistic and anything sooner will be just an unexpected bonus.
AI
