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Re: A deleted message

Saturday, 04/07/2012 10:25:25 AM

Saturday, April 07, 2012 10:25:25 AM

Post# of 281164
using 50% of each population for production only adds about 16% to the time required to reach any target population level.

Production and population increase are not by any means mutually exclusive. Say, for example, you take half of each population for production (or, in the earlier stages, making samples to send out) and use the other half for population increase.

that reduces the next population by 1/2
Do it another round and the population is 1/4 of what it would have been without using any worms for produciton.
Do it a third round and the population is 1/8th
A fourth round and it's 1/16, 5th = 1/32, 6th = 1/64th
And ONE generation (=100X) MORE than makes up for that!

So after SIX rounds of using half of each population for production (and each generation's half is 50 times larger than from the previous generation) YOU HAVE ONLY LOST LESS THAN ONE GENERATION OF TIME!

So again" using 50% of each population for production only adds about 16% to the time required to reach any target population level.

Since 6 generations of FULL reproducti0n is 10,000,000,000 or TEN BILLION worms that's got to be enough for production (in the early stages. By the time you've had two months to build up market demand you can have half a trillion worms which is surely enough for full production!.

But KBLB already has somewhere between a million and 10 million worms (or eggs) so that's just 3 generations to get early full production levels and 4 to get very high production levels.

THIS YEAR, in other words, full production population (probably considerably sooner: first product may be in a smaller market and, in any event, will be only a portion of the potential market. And it will take awhile for demand to develop.

I suspect that the timing of the Textile World article was based on KBLB already having adequate samples on hand to send out. So they should already be within one generation of having enough for small production runs.

It would make a great deal of sense for the first product on the market to be one with a small market, so it could be on the market sooner and get public' and, especially, industry's attention. By the time companies could get samples, test them and make deals, there would be enough worms for the production for larger markets.
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