fuagf -- I'd think they'd probably be most worried about the appearance of such an announced switch to their own people, about explicitly acknowledging a fundamental right of people en masse to challenge absolutist authority, after their own recent and still-simmering discontents -- but even given that, without going all the way to an official public breaking from Assad couched in heralding the rights and call of his people, Iran could make the shift and work more behind the scenes, not as dictated by but in some sort of concert with the broader international community that's already on alert about this, on some pragmatic 'transition' that also gets to the same sort of result and benefits to them, including in the broader diplomacy/context -- though I think their better course would be to just do it, get out in front publicly, tell Assad 'that's it, you're fired, you little fuck' precisely because he's murdering, committing clear war crimes against, his own people, because that just flat out is not acceptable, not even in a close and long-supported ally and friend
Greensburg, KS - 5/4/07
"Eternal vigilance is the price of Liberty."
from John Philpot Curran, Speech
upon the Right of Election, 1790
F6