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Re: MaskedCat post# 94239

Wednesday, 02/22/2012 5:13:46 PM

Wednesday, February 22, 2012 5:13:46 PM

Post# of 155535
Yes, let us analyze a little - these are the facts:

Provided by drews in post 93155
Mondays - 6 prs.
Tuesdays - 8 prs.
Wednesdays - 10 prs
Thursdays - 8 prs
Fridays - 10 prs


Now let's analyze the claim regarding shorter cycles (summarized from post 93155:

2010 PRs - 20 - PRs in every month except January, March, June with 3 PRs in February, 5 in July, 5 in August, 2 in December.

2011 PRs - 21 - PRs in every month except January, April, December with 2 in March, 4 in May, 3 in June, 3 in July, 3 in August, 2 in October, 2 in November.

Based on the facts it appears the shorter cycles in 2010 vs 2011 is false. The cycles between 2010 and 2011 are fairly similar.


Let's look at the specific date of the month:
Day of Month - # of PRs
1 - 1
3 - 2
5 - 1
6 - 1
8 - 1
9 - 2
10 - 1
11 - 1
13 - 3
14 - 2
15 - 1
16 - 2
17 - 1
18 - 5
22 - 2
23 - 3
25 - 1
26 - 4
27 - 1
28 - 3
30 - 3
31 - 1

2010/2011 (and 23 Jan 2012) PRs
1-7 - 5
8-14 - 10
15-21 - 9
22-28 - 14
29-31 - 4

2011 PRs ONLY
1-7 - 2
8-14 - 4
15-21 - 2
22-28 - 11
29-31 - 3

Based on facts it appears there was a preference in 2011 for release of PRs between the 22 and 28 but more specifically between the 26 and 31. Now based on a broader history it appears the preferred release time is anytime between the 8th to the 28th.

Last but not least let's look at the time of the day:

0700-0800 - 3
0801-0900 - 5
0901-1000 - 10
1001-1100 - 3
1101-1200 - 5
1201-1300 - 0
1301-1400 - 1
1401-1500 - 4
1501-1600 - 1
1601-1700 - 9
1701-1800 - 0
1801-1900 - 1

Based on facts the preferred PR release time is at market open or close.

Jan 23, 2012 1058
Nov 18, 2011 1807
Nov 14, 2011 1500
Oct 28, 2011 0915
Oct 27, 2011 0920
Sep 28, 2011 0915
Aug 26, 2011 1130
Aug 22, 2011 1135
Aug 05, 2011 1305
Jul 26, 2011 1614
Jul 26, 2011 1200
Jul 13, 2011 0930
Jun 30, 2011 0900
Jun 28, 2011 1133
Jun 03, 2011 0845
May 31, 2011 0915
May 26, 2011 0940
May 18, 2011 1145
May 10, 2011 1435
Mar 30, 2011 0951
Mar 11, 2011 0800
Feb 23, 2011 1030
Dec 09, 2010 0930
Dec 08, 2010 0845
Nov 18, 2010 1524
Oct 13, 2010 1439
Sep 01, 2010 1645
Aug 23, 2010 1620
Aug 17, 2010 1625
Aug 16, 2010 0745
Aug 13, 2010 1615
Aug 03, 2010 1650
Jul 30, 2010 1630
Jul 16, 2010 0745
Jul 15, 2010 1007
Jul 14, 2010 1615
Feb 18, 2010 1000
Feb 22, 2010 0830
Feb 25, 2010 0930
Apr 06, 2010 1430
May 18, 2010 0830
Jul 09, 2010 1630

History does in fact repeat itself.