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Thursday, 02/09/2012 11:45:48 AM

Thursday, February 09, 2012 11:45:48 AM

Post# of 37920
Buffett: A man for one season
My comment: Of course the key here is picking the right time. And as long as the CBs are hell bent on providing excess liquidity (ie money printing) gold will continue to rise relative to paper asset classes. My own impression is Buffett is really not all that smart and it would be interesting to see just what the stock market's performance would be without Fed intervention.

Warren Buffett: Why stocks beat gold and bonds: http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2012/02/09/warren-buffett-berkshire-shareholder-letter/?iid=HP_LN

Excerpts:
In an adaptation from his upcoming shareholder letter, the Oracle of Omaha explains why equities almost always beat the alternatives over time.

This type of investment requires an expanding pool of buyers, who, in turn, are enticed because they believe the buying pool will expand still further. Owners are not inspired by what the asset itself can produce -- it will remain lifeless forever -- but rather by the belief that others will desire it even more avidly in the future.

The major asset in this category is gold, currently a huge favorite of investors who fear almost all other assets, especially paper money (of whose value, as noted, they are right to be fearful). Gold, however, has two significant shortcomings, being neither of much use nor procreative. True, gold has some industrial and decorative utility, but the demand for these purposes is both limited and incapable of soaking up new production. Meanwhile, if you own one ounce of gold for an eternity, you will still own one ounce at its end.

What motivates most gold purchasers is their belief that the ranks of the fearful will grow. During the past decade that belief has proved correct. Beyond that, the rising price has on its own generated additional buying enthusiasm, attracting purchasers who see the rise as validating an investment thesis. As "bandwagon" investors join any party, they create their own truth -- for a while.

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