interesting article. Though I didn't see him mention it, there are times when vix has been as low as 9 and as high as 50+ , but yet there are tradeable moves in both those areas.
If I had the time it would be great to crunch his idea into a spreadsheet and see how it played out.
There are two methods I have seen that turn theories into reality (sometimes harsh reality).
spreadsheets and/or wealth-lab type stuff to say yea or nay on an idea truend into backtest.
and collective2.com to take it into the harsh reality of a public audit.
(speaking from experience-ugh)
I think there are a ton of articles like Hurlburts which could benefit from that.
You CAN time the market!
But only after you trash the big 3 myths.
Myth 1 - its possible to get every point of every move
...Myth 2 - you'll never have a drawdown
......Myth 3 - you'll never have a loss