"My guess is that cert. will come around the 16th or 17th" Not possible. Perhaps approval of manuals, but not cert. Cert. cannot occur until: 1. Approval of manuals 2. Hiring and training of initial flight crews 3. Emergency evacuation tests with the aircraft and crews. 4. Proving flights - at least 4 round trips - between JFK and LED. 5. "Tabletop Exercise" - FAA simulation of emergency scenarios with operational staff. Plus, a few other details. We're probably looking at spring '12 to see cert. Then 30 days later (DOT rules), first revenue flight can occur.