Tuesday, December 27, 2011 9:40:00 AM
TD 2.0 and BusinessList.com will expand the revenue generation capacity and a lack of dilution will increase per share earnings.
How much will revenues rise? Wait till March and get two real data points....
I figured that for TD 1.0 $SEEK requires about $100k/quarter to break even and most of the excess flows to the bottom line. That's about $20k revenue per channel.
As far as dilution, there's currently an extension by most debt holders until 01/15/2012. That extension has been rolled on a short leash for almost a year. So far $SEEK has been profitable for eight months in a row. I guess that's why the debtholders are confident enough not to convert their debt to equity and dump it into the market.
The only reason I can think for the 3.5B A/S vs. the 2.5B O/S after so many months without dilution is the potential maximum number of shares that could be converted if the bondholders got cold feet. Since $SEEK covers it's operating costs and generates profits consistently, the risk is much lower. I am gambling on further rollovers, Scott Gallagher keeping his word to pay down the debt and do the share buyback from cash flow.
http://www.otcmarkets.com/stock/SEEK/news
If the TA is gagged you can bet it's not in the shareholders best interest.
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