InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 183
Posts 16906
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 06/09/2010

Re: bakinfive53 post# 34043

Tuesday, 12/20/2011 9:58:42 AM

Tuesday, December 20, 2011 9:58:42 AM

Post# of 67010
$CGFIA-Very good discussions about the potential of CGFIA recently. Here is some data that those who have been around here for a while will have seen before, with some slight modifications based on recent events. This is a detail of the probable outcomes once the mill is up and running. I have only contemplated gold and Silver production, no other metals. Also note the inflated OS used to create a worst case scenario.

Change any of the numbers to arrive at what you think is realistic. The numbers shared here are conservative IMO.

Production Outcomes and P/E ratios
High Estimate of OS…………..6,000,000,000…………………………………………… EPS……….…PPS @ 25 PE……MCAP
Buy out………………………PPS…………..OI on Milling $4,800,000…………...$0.00080…….$0.0200………….$120,000,000
500,000,000…………………$0.083……………………….$9,600,000……………$0.00160…….$0.0400………….$240,000,000
1,000,000,000……………….$0.167………..Brooklyn OI...$11,000,000
1,500,000,000……………….$0.250………..Total OI……..$25,400,000…………..$0.00423……$0.1058…………..$635,000,000
2,000,000,000……………….$0.333
2,500,000,000……………….$0.417

Mill Production Estimates (assumes .5oz’s AU/TN and 10oz’sAG/TN)

Tons…..Oz’s…Days…Total……Oz's AU….AU Price……..Rev AU /
Day…..AU......Mo......Oz’s AU….YR………OZ……………YR…………………OI at 55% rev………..EPS Current……..PPS at P/E 25
200…..100……30…..3,000.........36,000……$1,500.............$54,000,000.………..$29,700,000…………$0.0050…………...$0.12
300…..150……30…..4,500…….54,000……$1,500.............$81,000,000………...$44,550,000…………$0.0074…………...$0.19
400…..200……30…..6,000…….72,000……$1,500.............$108,000,000……….$59,400,000…………$0.0099 …………..$0.25
500…..250……30…..7,500…….90,000……$1,500.............$135,000,000……….$74,250,000…………$0.0124…………...$0.31
600…..300……30…..9,000…….108,000…..$1,500……….$162,000,000……….$89,100,000…………$0.0149…………...$0.37
700…..350……30…..10,500…...126,000…..$1,500.............$189,000,000……….$103,950,000………..$0.0173…………...$0.43

Tons…..Oz’s Days…Total……..Oz's AG…..AG Price……Rev AU /
Day…..AG Mo…...Oz’s AG….YR………..OZ…………YR………………….OI at 55% rev………..EPS Current………PPS at P/E 25
200…..2,000 30……60,000…..720,000…….$35………...$25,200,000…………$13,860,000…………$0.0023…………..$0.06
300…..3,000 30……90,000…..1,080,000…..$35………...$37,800,000…………$20,790,000…………$0.0035…………..$0.09
400…..4,000 30……120,000....1,440,000…..$35………...$50,400,000…………$27,720,000…………$0.0046…………..$0.12
500…..5,000 30……150,000…1,800,000…..$35………...$63,000,000…………$34,650,000…………$0.0058…………..$0.14
600…..6,000 30……180,000…2,160,000…..$35…………$75,600,000………...$41,580,000…………$0.0069…………..$0.17
700…..7,000 30……210,000…2,520,000…..$35…………$88,200,000………...$48,510,000…………$0.0081…………..$0.20

………………….Silver + AU
TN's/Day……… Annual Revenue…………OI at 55% Rev………EPS Currrent……..PPS at P/E 25
200……………. $79,200,000………………$43,560,000…………$0.0073……………$0.18
300……………. $118,800,000……………..$65,340,000…………$0.0109……………$0.27
400……………. $158,400,000……………..$87,120,000…………$0.0145……………$0.36
500 …………….$198,000,000……………..$108,900,000………..$0.0182……………$0.45
600 …………… $237,600,000……………..$130,680,000………..$0.0218……………$0.54
700 …………… $277,200,000……………..$152,460,000………..$0.0254……………$0.64
It is clear that even with a high OS the production numbers and resulting PPS is well withinn the range others have discussed.

Accumulate when you can!

TR

567

GL

From our Good Friend Troger!

Read My Posts @ The Wall Street Club
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=6442
If I got it right; "That's my one for the year!" There is no substitute for your own DD!!!
"DO NOT LISTEN TO ME!"

Join InvestorsHub

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.