Same as a lie if you go out and spit something out you can't back up.
A lie is an intentional mistruth or IMHO, an intentional misdirection. Is the clown incompetent? No doubt, but a liar, no.
Unfortunately, we still don't know what the situation is. As Greenburg said, there is less transparency than previously. This is suspicious to me. But, according to that report other analysts have found what may be modest drop-off is sales, and your opinion, which I read a few posts back
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