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Re: bigworld post# 5154

Tuesday, 10/04/2011 1:11:16 AM

Tuesday, October 04, 2011 1:11:16 AM

Post# of 19856

The key is to keep adding to long positions on weakness. Add in increments.



Big,
I did this starting at the market top in November 2007. For a year and a half, I kept adding. Finally, I lost all confidence in February, 2009 and went to cash and booked a pretty big loss. Of course, the markets staged a massive head-fake rally, as soon as I exited.

The reasons the market looked so bleak in February, 2009 were sugar-coated and hidden, and the rally happened because that was the way to burn the most. But, those reasons have only gotten better.

I think this current sell-off is no garden variety pullback. I doubt you will get a rally that exceeds this year's high. Merkets move quick now. VIX won't see 20 again for a few years, at least.
MF4

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