Rambus (RMBS)

[calbiker]

Re. Hope you can provide the probability analysis

Stock predictions are a dime a dozen. What sets good ones apart is their degree of accuracy. What's your confidence level in achieving $35? What's your 3 sigma range? That figure would separate the men from the boys.

And really, you're predicting earnings of $1 per share. That's a pretty steep increase from today's earnings of about 20c. You believe there'll be a 400% increase in earnings in 18 months? That's huge! Especially when a large percentage of today's earnings will be lost when Intel stops payment.

I suppose only a few would subscribe if you predict just $20 in 18 months. The seller of the information wants to make the company look as rosy as possible. The better the picture, the better the sales. It's hard to believe cor would be hyping RMBS. Ha. We've come full circle.