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Thursday, August 25, 2011 11:40:42 PM
I'll be honest, I bought this company on a very strong reccomendation from a guy who has given me a lot of very good small cap stocks that have run huge. I got lazy on the due diligence on this one and made the mistake of accumulating more based on the storyline, one that I still continue to love. But a good story line and unproven technology are huge opportunities because of the huge risk involved, and I "shoulda" called their vendors, customers, existing licensees, etc., and taken the failed Woodridge facility as a huge redflag.
To me this is essentially a macro bet. If the company can survive these hard times and grind out some revenue, then the upside absolutely stellar. Think about it, there are 7 billion people in the world. There's food inflation around the globe, food riots, a massive cultural shift in China to middle class urbanization, and humanity continues to destroy the environment. Isn't there a good chance that civilization will have to adopt a new form of water treatment, fertilizer, and most of all farming technique?
Imagine if you could have patented the process of crop rotation. Or, just imagine that other big cap companies are to clumsy to do this kind of R&D and would rather buy up a company who owns the technology. (Monsanto, Scotts Fertilizer)
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