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Saturday, August 20, 2011 5:45:06 PM
The true value of anything is open to interpretation. How much is it worth to that person. What is supply and demand demonstrating. These two variables can often clash with each other.
(1) Personal Risk - one person may buy regardless of the risk of an uncertain future. Maybe they have the money to take such a chance on stock based on speculation.
(2) Supply and Demand - I see the Ask price at 2.00 and it sits there most of the day with little volume. People are willing to sell at 2.00 there just not willing to buy at 2.00 for the exception of the few who are willing to take the risk.
Investors who have more to lose know that the stock isn't worth 2.00 and are waiting for it to come down to its true value. Investors who can afford to take higher risks with there money will buy the over valued stock at 2.00 dollars. Those guys made out great selling everyone else over valued stock as it went up to 4.00 dollars. Most of these investors are like me who bought the stock at its true value (much lower). Many of these investors sold off shares when it inflated and made good money doing it. What happened to all those who bought in as the stock climbed. Why would the stock eventually fall dramatically after an announcement of good news? Because it wasn't worth 2.00 let alone 4.00 dollars. I know all stock involves some level of risk. If you buy in based on hope, speculation and obvious uncertainty don't be surprised if it backfires.
What is the worth of a company that has no revenue foundation to base it on? What is the worth of a companies stock that has no revenue stream coming in with debt mounting? What is the worth of a stock that has little information and few announcements to adequately research its true value?
My opinion is, this stock is not worth 2.00 dollars right now until something significant happens. I like to evaluate a stock based on risk verses realistic gains. With all the variables, speculation and potential risk involved I estimate its true value between .55 to .95 cents depending on the amount of shares you acquire. Anything above this is stock inflation.
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