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Re: AnderL post# 8858

Thursday, 06/09/2005 11:12:04 PM

Thursday, June 09, 2005 11:12:04 PM

Post# of 25966
Sorry ....but I was just offended that you could make that "blanket statement" that "lunar cycles don't mean a thing". I had to respond and disagree.

I traded grain futures regularly for 10 years. My daily charts would always have the lunar cycles put on them by myself. I saw firsthand that you could usually expect swing highs on or near the full moon(usually overbought or near that on the stochastics) and swing lows(oversold or near stochastics) could be expected on or near the new moon. It happened so much that I always had the lunar cycle on my charts and it was a very reliable indicator in the "art" of trading grain futures.

I never used it on other markets....but was told by some old grain pros that it was something you could usually use as a tool in your "swing" grain trading.


28 Day Commodity Trading Cycle


Most important cycle in commodities may be a result of the lunar cycle.

Relate to the 4-week rule i.e., market sets.

4 week highs = Buy.

4 week lows = Sell.

20 trading days in 4-week cycle.



Left and right Translation


Refers to the shifting of cycle peaks to the left or right of the ideal cycle midpoint. E.g., 20 day trading cycle is measured from low to low—peak should occur 10 days into the cycle at halfway point—followed by a 10-day decline—ideals rarely occur. See figure 14.15

Up trend cycle crest shifts to right i.e.= Bullish.

Downtrend cycle crest shifts to left = Bearish.



Seasonal Cycles


Most obvious in agricultural markets but nearly all markets display seasonal patterns.



Rogue





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