Steering patterns have been more favorable for something moving north out of Mexico/South America to form in the gulf... But nada for the year so far... Small flair up around 25N x 75W is near where Katrina sprang up...But the steering pattern is for East movement now.... Areas due east of Florida have been active but the steering has been east to northeast... Otherwise it would have been more active...LJ http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-l.jpg http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-l.jpg