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Thursday, July 07, 2011 1:38:09 AM
If you look back at my posting history you will see many references to an industrial gases company I worked for where I worked on projects very similar to what JBI is doing, in that they were process-oriented and about the same dollar values (perhaps bigger). I learned the most about Project Management there. I have also worked in nuclear industries and am now in a new area that throws around more money than any other area I have been in.
I am accustomed to a company doing very thorough analysis before spending dime 1. It usually happens in stages and in the final stage the estimates being produced are accurate to 5% or 10%. My job after the final go-ahead is given is to ensure that cost and schedule targets are met. Without that, what is the point?
So here is what JBI did:
- promised some great things, appealed to alot of emotions, made some great promises
- got some money through private equity
- spent it to build a prototype
- validated the result through a lab test of which i am not knowledgeable enough to know the value of. I can read it as well as anyone else.
- has a few deals in the bag and has made alot of promises wrt future deals
- missed every timeline he has promised to investors
- has continually made greater promises instead of simply selling something sinmple
- missed the boat on permitting, causing a delay in building units 2 and 3, which would be unforgiveable in private industry.
- from what I can tell JB does everything himself and there are no drawings or construction packages that would allow this to be built tomorrow by a contractor.
- continues to promise greater things whilst not delivering sales. Where are the simple refinery sales??
Other than that, the fact he has no debt is actually a good thing. He could sustain this for a long time if he continues to promise greater things.
I would not call this stock a particularly good call right now.
BTW IFC = "Issued For Construction"
I finally reveal my true identity!!!!!!!!!
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