China Housing Market (Boom or Bust)

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Investment from US declines 28%

Is this a red flag showing the party is over?

BEIJING - US investment in China dropped sharply by 28 percent, while foreign direct investment (FDI) maintained double-digit growth from January to April, the Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday.

Economists said they believed the US investment decline is temporary, and the Chinese economy, over the long term, will provide US companies with increased investment opportunities.

US investment from January to April decreased to $1.03 billion and the number of US firms setting up in China also fell by 3.85 percent to 475.

In contrast, European Union investment rose by 23.42 percent to $2.64 billion. Investment from the Asia-Pacific region, including Japan, South Korea and Singapore, registered growth of 31.23 percent to $32.88 billion.

The ministry said that FDI for April rose by 15.21 percent, from a year earlier, to $8.46 billion, the fourth month that FDI witnessed double-digit growth this year.

"US investment could drop further over the short-term," Song Hong, head of the Department of International Trade at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said.

Song attributed this to a decline in US manufacturing, a key component of US investment, following the global financial crisis. He also said that with the recovery in the US economy, businesses that had invested in China were returning to the US market.

But others cited rising labor costs as a reason.

"We cannot ignore the fact that investment into China from developed nations, including the US, is slowing thanks to China's rising labor costs," said Zhang Yansheng, director of the Institute for International Economic Research under the National Development and Reform Commission.

US investment in China in 2010 grew by 13.31 percent year-on-year, compared to 31 percent for its total overseas investment, according to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

Yuan Gangming, a researcher at the Center for China in the World Economy at Tsinghua University, said "the US is much too reliant on China" for investment to drop over the long term.

But US investors "probably have complaints, such as barriers", he said.

In a survey of its member companies released last month the US Chamber of Commerce in China cited "bureaucracy, lack of management, ambiguous laws and infringement of intellectual property rights" as major challenges facing US firms here.

But the survey also pointed out that 80 percent of the companies recorded profits in 2010 and many have expansion plans.


http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2011-05/18/content_12530121.htm