Natcore Technology Inc (NTCXF)

[ck1234]

An endorsement....


http://www.stockhouse.com/Bullboards/MessageDetail.aspx?p=0&m=29337893&l=0&r=0&s=NXT&t=LIST

Leading Tech Stock Analyst
Makes Natcore A Top Pick


Natcore Technology Inc. (TSX-V: NXT; NTCXF.PK) has been named a top pick by widely-followed small-cap analyst Danny Deadlock of MicroCap.com.

Mr. Deadlock has a remarkable track record: In the year ended November 30, 2010, he picked 42 stocks. Of those, 40 stocks gained an average of 93%. (His two losers averaged 18%.)

As Mr. Deadlock reports, Natcore Technology is a small publicly traded company with an independently-verified technology that holds the potential to completely change the economics of solar energy.

In his February 22 issue (reprinted below) he stresses that Natcore has two value-triggers that could quickly elevate the company to a much higher valuation.

1. The first of these triggers is actually twofold. As he notes, "...the strong endorsement from [U.S. Congresswoman Louise] Slaughter is what we needed for third party validation. [And] If Kodak comes onboard (at any point in the future), (Natcore's) level of credibility and world class potential goes through the roof."

However, on the day that this issue was released, Natcore was already meeting with Kodak and other local and national officials. Here's a link to one of the five television news stories that reported on this meeting:

http://rochester.ynn.com/content/top_stories/534333/slaughter-trying-to-bring-green-jobs-to-rochester/

2. The second value trigger: Mr. Deadlock reported that "Natcore's current technology solution is very viable BUT if they can produce a 'Tandem' cell, this will be a huge home run."

Natcore continues to make great strides on this front as well. For the latest developments on Natcore's super-efficient tandem cell research and their other technologies, click below for a full report.





Microcap.com
Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Natcore Technology (NXT.V
.93)
www.natcoresolar.com

I started coverage of Natcore Jan 10th at
.72 and have issued several updates since - so I assume most of you are familiar with the company. Tonight's update is to bring you up to speed on what has happened Tuesday. In my last update two weeks ago I discussed the potential alliance with Kodak. This update elaborates on that.

At the open on Tuesday, there were three orders for approx. 100,000 shares at $1.03 - complete disregard for price as it closed at
.86 on Friday. It traded down on the day as the rest of the market sold off. The buying may have been a coincidence but it was also the same day they were touring the Kodak facility in Rochester, N.Y.

I have discussed the involvement of Congresswoman Slaughter who carries significant clout in Washington. She is trying to attract big business to her region and has been courting Natcore along with Obama and the Department of Energy. On Friday Natcore officials met with Slaughter and nine public and private sector officials. They toured the Eastman facility which is a world class manufacturing center with its own power plant and extensive infrastructure.

Kodak for obvious reasons has seen its photography business drop dramatically. They need diversification and one belief is that their world class expertise in manufacturing film can be applied to Natcore's technology to produce one of the world's most effective (and low cost) solar solutions.

I have been discussing this technology in updates, but the strong endorsement from Slaughter is what we needed for third party validation. If Kodak comes onboard (at any point in the future), that level of credibility and world class potential goes through the roof.

It would mean (in theory) that Natcore has what the world has been waiting for in solar energy production. Low cost and high efficiency. The big game changer (on a global scale) comes (IF) they can produce a tandem cell (discussed on the Natcore website). Right now it is far more than theory but still a ways from being commercially viable. Natcore's current technology solution is very viable BUT if they can produce a "Tandem" cell, this will be a huge home run.

A hint of that potential is discussed in the media below. Natcore and Congresswoman Slaughter believe the market would be so large, they could create 2000 to 4000 manufacturing jobs - in particular if they can partner with Kodak.

POTENTIAL VALUATION

To get to the stage they're at, Natcore has done an exceptional job managing their share structure. With the recent $3 million financing at
.75, the company has 30 million shares outstanding.

Until they sign larger contracts or go into full scale production, it is extremely difficult to try and assign a value to companies like this. Current market cap is close to $30 million and maybe that is more than fair. If they sign on with someone like Kodak, that valuation then jumps - but to where we wouldn't know. These high growth (and high risk) companies often carry pie-in-the-sky valuations.

The only thing that I think is a fair assumption is the following:

1) If they were to partner with Kodak, it validates the technology and the potential so fair value may be $50 to $100 million.

2) If they were to develop a commercially viable Tandem Solar Cell, the picture changes dramatically. A company that may revolutionize the solar industry on a global scale (and be first to market), is likely sitting on a valuation worth several hundred million dollars or more. Obviously if they manage their share structure properly, that could mean a double digit share price within 1 to 2 years.

For now I think we should target a double from here at some point in 2011 and if they hit targets, we can just re-value as we go along.



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