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Re: sylvester80 post# 50482

Saturday, 11/30/2002 8:08:50 PM

Saturday, November 30, 2002 8:08:50 PM

Post# of 704019
> "With the market still sporting deep losses for the year, these
> managers are looking for any reason to buy stocks, which
> largely explains their eagerness to take highly volatile data,
> like the weekly unemployment claims that fell to their lowest
> level since July, as a sign the economy is turning," he says.

perhaps i don't understand the magic of "seasonal adjustment", but i just don't see the boolishness in these numbers:

Initial Claims (Seasonally Adjusted)
364,000 this week
381,000 last week
-17,000 change

Initial Claims (Raw Data)
431,641 this week
372,656 last week
+58,985 change

nor can i easily imagine what was so different about last week (relative to the previous week) that the adjustment went from +9000 to -90000.

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