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Re: Strindberg post# 5101

Thursday, 02/10/2011 10:54:31 AM

Thursday, February 10, 2011 10:54:31 AM

Post# of 163718

Well, hard to believe becoming available to a percent of institutions translates to (the same) price appreciation.

Funny thing is, I guess I'd have to say I'd be happy with 50% appreciation in 2011 (and 2012) -- how can one not be? -- but I expect more.

If SIAF does what they say they'll do -- and they always have -- 2011 will see:

1) four new fish farms, with 8 on the 2012 horizon
this is HUGE -- it would establish the fourth SIAF business as a 100%+ grower, outstripping the other three businesses, not to mention pocketing an incremental $.13+ in 2011 net profit, expected to grow to $.26 in 2012 from build out alone.
2) distribution network will be established, adding an entirely new business in 2012
3) HU flowers will have at least 50% growth in 2011, simply by meeting 2010 acreage yields, if there are no rains. Probably another 25% from more and more mature acreage
4) uplisting
5) possible dual listing
6) cattle and dairy growing at 50% +/-
7) finally, SIAF will have a cash horde, possibly $20M
8) forward p/e at pps 50% above today would still be only about two !!
9) Book value will be north of $2.5
10) etc., etc.

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