Thursday, January 20, 2011 5:37:38 PM
I own Mercer at 5 and 6 and some at 7. I think the stock is headed higher based on forward earnings being close to the third quarter performance with the added energy sale bolstering the picture. After study,this company's earnings and stock price really revolve around the gross profit they can achieve. For an investor in a cyclical business one needs to know the market conditions for the price of their product. I am in the steel business so I am familar with the cyclical nature but don't know how to get a read on pulp. Could you tell me how/where you get any feel for the sales price/cost spread. One way would be to ask management to forecast the market at conference calls, which I plan to do at the next earnings caonference call in February.
long.
Crusader Rabbit.
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