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Re: mr_cash4 post# 9577

Monday, 03/21/2005 3:27:45 PM

Monday, March 21, 2005 3:27:45 PM

Post# of 51856
cash, if we look at the last two 40 wk cycles, from the march 03 start of this 4.5 yr cycle, we see that both 40 wk cycles ran short 36 and 38 weeks, as did the 80 wk cycle at 74 weeks. there was no reversion to the mean. hurst listed the nominal cycle as 78/80 wks although it really is a 78 wk cycle and the 9 month cycle runs 39 wks so a window of 37 to 39 wks puts us last wk of april thru 1st two wks of may. it could extend, no doubt. my shortened window need some shorter 10 wk cycles to be correct.

aire







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