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Friday, 10/15/2010 6:39:50 AM

Friday, October 15, 2010 6:39:50 AM

Post# of 1660
I have seen hundreds of "development stage" companies in all the industries, the majority of them fail. So this is a normal question you must ask yourself before investing in Manas Petroleum: Be or not to be.
Some investors already decided, the good thing is that they are insiders who hold 40% stake in (MNAP.OB) and there are other 164 shareholders, the bad thing is (and a good thing to me) that while Crude Oil gets higher, stock goes lower those offering a better opportunity for investors like me. Here's the story:
Manas Petroleum Corporation is a development-stage company engaged in exploration and development of oil and gas resources. The Company focuses on exploring for oil and gas, primarily in Central Asia and the Balkans. The Company is involved in projects in the Kyrgyz Republic, Albania, Tajikistan, Mongolia and Chile. The Company has a wholly owned subsidiary, DWM Petroleum AG (DWM), Baar (DWM Petroleum), based in Baar, Switzerland. The Company is focused on the exploration of light oil prospects. On December 7, 2009, DWM Petroleum formed Manas Adriatic GmbH and thereafter DWM Petroleum transferred title to its Albanian project to Manas Adriatic. On February 24, 2010, the Company sold Manas Adriatic to WWI Resources.
There is only one reason why I hold MNAP, it's their deals with (and around) blue chip names like Australian $2.7B oil/gas company Santos International Holdings Pty Ltd. (STOSF.PK), Chile state owned ENAP (Empresia Nacional del Petroleo-Chile), Royal Dutch/Shell Plc. (RDS.A), Coparex International SA (now Lundin Petroleum AB) (LNDNY.PK), (BP), Apache (APA), Total SA (TOT), Pluspetrol Chile SA, Petromanas Energy Inc. and more.
The company is very good managed and buys only exploration&production licenses in this countries where oil/gas majors were or are active. I think there is a light in the end of the tunnel and there is oil/gas below the ground and Manas Petroleum Corp. will be there to get it all out. If I am right then everybody will make money, if I am wrong then you still can make money if you listen to me.
For low risk trade try this out: Sell $50,000 (or $5,000 or $500,000 you decide) in (USO) and buy $50,000 in (MNAP.OB). If Crude Oil price will decline sharply (everything can happen, even low $20's per barrel will not surprise me) then you will lose less in %, because (USO) is a ETF that is based on oil/gas derivatives and futures performance. The Crude Oil and Nat Gas (same all petroleum products) futures are in contango (forward price is higher than spot), so each time USO will have to buy energies futures contracts at higher prices those depressing it's price and performance, that's why this is a very good protection for both bull and bear market in energies. (MNAP.OB) doesn't have this complexity in it, it goes up/down depending on it's assets, production costs, political risk. That's why even rising oi/gas prices have a negative effect on the stock, it has to do more with it's operations in high risk areas than it's high potential in the ground. The last thing is you can trust their financials, auditor is Deloitte
I like to be in dangerous situations, if you like action at low price then it's your call.

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