Don't bet the house just yet, but it looks like 98L will become Paula and she may be headed for the Gulf of Mexico to churn up BP's oil.
I am playing EVXA for this one.
Invest 98L now at 100% for chance of tropical cyclone development in the next 48hrs. SATELLITE IMAGES...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS. ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS... BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND WESTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
Tracks extending further into the Gulf.
Pushing the shear away with its' Northwestern path.
The odds still seem against this storm (future Paula) to push into the Gulf shores, but with each update the models track it further North.
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