National Storm Management Inc (NSMG)

[Deewar25]

well, gfs is pretty damn spicy again for beginning of Oct landfall

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/index_slp_su_loop.shtml

nogaps is looking risky (hit FWD)

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.cgi?time=2010092112&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

the ECMWF is looking very dangerous

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2009081100!!!step/

Even the rest of them seem to show a bounce of hondurus and a march between the gap into the gulf.

Obviously still changing, but there is significant consistency for the first time in most of the models.

As I said before - pretty decent play here - gamble for a 3-6 bagger, at worse if they don't pan out and this just runs into Mexico and dissipates, you take a 20% loss. Risk/reward is probably more favorable here in this non-functioning pinkie then 90% of the pinks out there currently.