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Re: Neutral Man post# 107571

Monday, 08/02/2010 9:02:33 AM

Monday, August 02, 2010 9:02:33 AM

Post# of 384543
Buy-Signals, Sell-Signals and da-Boyz, Oh My, LOL!?


Up, Dn, Up, Dn, Buy-Signal, Sell-Signal, Buy-Signal, and then Buy-Signal, these kind of back and forth events often signal a shift change of meaning and we'll be positioning for said change as prices march higher!?

The Buy-Signal issued on 23Jul remains in control and with prices HOLD-ing above the negate number, 45.48, on a close-ing basis last week we can expect a Break-Out of meaning going forward!!

ALL eyes should be on the S1(45.57), and the S2(46.68) because if either one falls on a CLOSE-ing basis then we expect prices to continue in said direction!?

We'll continue to use the volitility to extract coins as da-Boyz play between the lines, the 45.57/46.64 lines dat is!?

The S&P500 NOW sits just below it's YTD Pivot, 1102.47, at 1101.60 and threatens to make a run for the R1(1130.03) this week!?

1212.72 10.00%
1185.16 7.50%
1157.59 5.00%
1130.03 2.50%

1102.47 0.00% OE Pivot (Finally breached 23Jul)

1074.91 -2.50% S1 (tagged 24Jun)
1047.35 -5.00% S2 (tagged 29Jun)
1019.78 -7.50% S3 (tagged 01Jul)
992.22 -10.00% S4


In summary, we think our original prognostications for a POP up to the S1(45.57) has happened Friday and an extension up to the 46.64/46.68 support-resistance lines are a real possibility going forward, BUT, ANY Freaken breach of 46.64/46.68 will get our attention and get us 100% LONG!?

4cast says, SHORTS gonna take it in, well, da-SHORTS, Oh Boy, Sigh...........!?

Date Open High Low Close
30-Jul 45.36 46.09 45.07 45.81
4cast
2-Aug 46.30 46.51 45.63 46.33


Buy-Signals:

Pre-pair-ing to Yield to the Sell-Signal, or NOT!?

No, Date, Negate #
1) 05Feb, 42.44
2) 11Feb, 43.12
3) 12Feb, 43.21
4) 25Feb, 44.04
5) 22Mar, 47.32
6) 22Apr, 49.68 (Negated 27Apr)
7) 29Apr, 49.60 (Negated 30Apr)
8) 06May, 45.99 (Negated 07May)
9) 12May, 48.01 (Negated 13May)
10)21May, 44.24 (confirmed 24May)
11)25May, 44.14 Not Confrimed
12)27May, 45.30 Negated)
13)02Jun, 45.67 negated 04Jun
14)10Jun, 44.51 (confirmed 11Jun)
15)11Jun, 44.93 (confirmed 14Jun)
16)15Jun, 46.13 negated 23Jun
17)07Jul, 43.96 (confirmed 08Jul)
18)09Jul, 44.06 (confirmed 12Jul)
19)20Jul, 44.69 negated 21Jul
20)23Jul, 45.48 (confirmed 26Jul)

Sell-Signals:

Sell-Signals have definitely dominated the scene since 11Mar, and the trend since early May continues in Full_Court_Jester_Mode!

NO, Date, Negate #
1) 11Mar, 48.30
2) 12Mar, 48.31
3) 16Mar, 48.50
4) 18Mar, 48.79
5) 22Mar, 48.88
6) 23Mar, 49.22
7) 25Mar, 48.91
8) 29Mar, 49.19 (Negated 13Apr with a close above!)
9) 14Apr, 50.91 (confirmed with an additional Sell-Signal 15Apr)
10)15Apr, 51.13 (confirmed on 16Apr)
11)27Apr, 50.34 (confirmed on 28Apr)
12)30Apr, 50.22 (confirmed on 03May)
13)04May, 49.40 (confirmed 05May)
14)07May, 46.32 (Negated 10May)
15)13May, 48.81 (confirmed 14May)
16)18May, 47.36 (confirmed 19May)
17)20May, 45.24 (confirmed 21May, negated 27May)
18)01Jun, 46.14 (negated 02Jun)
19)04Jun, 45.99
20)07Jun, 45.16 (confirmed 08Jun)
21)09Jun, 44.70 (negated 10Jun)
22)21Jun, 47.53 (confirmed 22Jun)
23)22Jun, 47.16 (confirmed 23Jun)
24)24Jun, 46.26 (confirmed 25Jun)
25)29Jun, 44.24 (confirmed 30Jun)
26)30Jun, 43.56 (confirmed 01Jul)
27)06Jul, 43.45 negated 07Jul
28)16Jul, 45.23 (confirmed 20Jul)
29)21Jul, 44.72 negated 22Jul

Last but defintely NOT Least is the OEPM S/R lines of meaning!

53.35 20.00% R8
52.24 17.50% R7
51.13 15.00% R6
50.02 12.50% R5 (Serious resistance as of 30Apr)
48.91 10.00% R4 (violated 04May, look to the R3 for guidance now)
47.79 7.50% R3 (violated 14May, hasn't been seen since)
46.68 5.00% R2 (violated 18May on a close-ing basis and back-tested 19May)
45.57 2.50% R1 (violated 20May and NOW Serious resistance)

44.46 0.00% YTD OE Pivot (Once thought to be the FINAL Discount wave target, close at 44.35 on 20May and another violation will Open the FLOOD gates to start vilating the Support levels!!??)

43.35 -2.50% S1 (tagged 29Jun)
42.24 -5.00% S2 (tagged 01Jul)
41.13 -7.50% S3
40.01 -10.00% S4
38.90 -12.50% S5
37.79 -15.00% S6
36.68 -17.50% S7
35.57 -20.00% S8
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