Buy-Signals, Sell-Signals and da-Boyz, Oh My, LOL!?
The Buy-Signals remain in control but we suspect the upness is reaching it's apex and will position accordingly!?
That said, we Did NOT expect a Violation of the YTD Pivot, 44.46, but we CLOSED above said level on Friday and da-Boyz have our attention NOW!
The S&P500 remains below the YTD Pivot, 1102.47, CLOSED just below at 1095.34 and now threatens to tag the under belly of the YTD Pivot!?
All that said we suspect the ST TOP is in and we have an Exhaustive-Compulsive-END-ing Wave today that closes in the Red??
1212.72 10.00%
1185.16 7.50%
1157.59 5.00%
1130.03 2.50%
1102.47 0.00% OE Pivot
1074.91 -2.50% S1 (tagged 24Jun)
1047.35 -5.00% S2 (tagged 29Jun)
1019.78 -7.50% S3 (tagged 01Jul)
992.22 -10.00%S4
964.66 -12.50%S5
937.10 -15.00%S6
909.54 -17.50%S7
881.98 -20.00%S8 (Our FINAL, into the Abyss, wave count target)
In summary, we think the ST TOP is in if we can NOT close above the S&P500 YTD Pivot, 1102.47? We'll be removing more long plays today on the GAP up and positioning for a continuation down?
4cast says, GAP and wan!??
Date Open High Low Close
9-Jul 44.18 44.63 44.08 44.62
12-Jul 44.58 45.03 44.46 44.75
13-Jul 45.13 45.50 44.80 45.33
4cast
14-Jul 45.56 46.06 44.68 45.27
Buy-Signals:
ALL Negated and Null and Void until further notice!
No, Date, Negate #
1) 05Feb, 42.44
2) 11Feb, 43.12
3) 12Feb, 43.21
4) 25Feb, 44.04
5) 22Mar, 47.32
6) 22Apr, 49.68 (Negated 27Apr)
7) 29Apr, 49.60 (Negated 30Apr)
8) 06May, 45.99 (Negated 07May)
9) 12May, 48.01 (Negated 13May)
10)21May, 44.24 (confirmed 24May)
11)25May, 44.14 Not Confrimed
12)27May, 45.30 (Negated)
13)02Jun, 45.67 (negated 04Jun)
14)10Jun, 44.51 (confirmed 11Jun)
15)11Jun, 44.93 (confirmed 14Jun)
16)15Jun, 46.13 (negated 23Jun)
17)07Jul, 43.96 (confirmed 08Jul)
18)09Jul, 44.06 (confirmed 12Jul)
Sell-Signals:
Sell-Signals have definitely dominated the scene since 11Mar and we suspect they'll continute to win out over buy-signals indefitely going forward?
NO, Date, Negate #
1) 11Mar, 48.30
2) 12Mar, 48.31
3) 16Mar, 48.50
4) 18Mar, 48.79
5) 22Mar, 48.88
6) 23Mar, 49.22
7) 25Mar, 48.91
8) 29Mar, 49.19 (Negated 13Apr with a close above!)
9) 14Apr, 50.91 (confirmed with an additional Sell-Signal 15Apr)
10)15Apr, 51.13 (confirmed on 16Apr)
11)27Apr, 50.34 (confirmed on 28Apr)
12)30Apr, 50.22 (confirmed on 03May)
13)04May, 49.40 (confirmed 05May)
14)07May, 46.32 (Negated 10May)
15)13May, 48.81 (confirmed 14May)
16)18May, 47.36 (confirmed 19May)
17)20May, 45.24 (confirmed 21May, negated 27May)
18)01Jun, 46.14 (negated 02Jun)
19)04Jun, 45.99
20)07Jun, 45.16 (confirmed 08Jun)
21)09Jun, 44.70 (negated 10Jun)
22)21Jun, 47.53 (confirmed 22Jun)
23)22Jun, 47.16 (confirmed 23Jun)
24)24Jun, 46.26 (confirmed 25Jun)
25)29Jun, 44.24 (confirmed 30Jun)
26)30Jun, 43.56 (confirmed 01Jul)
27)06Jul, 43.45
Last but defintely NOT Least is the OEPM S/R lines of meaning!
53.35 20.00% R8
52.24 17.50% R7
51.13 15.00% R6
50.02 12.50% R5 (Serious resistance as of 30Apr)
48.91 10.00% R4 (violated 04May, look to the R3 for guidance now)
47.79 7.50% R3 (violated 14May, hasn't been seen since)
46.68 5.00% R2 (violated 18May on a close-ing basis and back-tested 19May)
45.57 2.50% R1 (violated 20May and NOW Serious resistance)
44.46 0.00% YTD OE Pivot (Once thought to be the FINAL Discount wave target, close at 44.35 on 20May and another violation will Open the FLOOD gates to start vilating the Support levels!!??)
43.35 -2.50% S1 (tagged 29Jun)
42.24 -5.00% S2 (tagged 01Jul)
41.13 -7.50% S3
40.01 -10.00% S4
38.90 -12.50% S5
37.79 -15.00% S6
36.68 -17.50% S7
35.57 -20.00% S8
