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Re: mt77 post# 15974

Wednesday, 07/07/2010 10:06:33 AM

Wednesday, July 07, 2010 10:06:33 AM

Post# of 42999
WT77 --

You are saying the lower the risk, the better the chance of finding oil? So, 2% means there is only a 2% chance that oil will NOT be found?

I think you are wrong.

In the RPS report, risk = Chance of Success, where chance of success is clearly defined as "chance or probability of discovering hydrocarbons in a sufficient quantity for them to be tested to the surface."

For me, the higher the Chance of Success, the more likely EEGC is to find oil. 2% is NOT a good number.

If you have some other citation which supports your view, please provide.

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