AI
Saturday, June 26, 2010 3:39:34 AM
Tropical Depression One
THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE DISTURBANCE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS FOUND A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF AROUND 1004 MB. BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT…ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE AT THIS TIME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF WIND DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT AND SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS.
THE DEPRESSION IS VERY CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH…AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION BEFORE IT REACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN A DAY OR SO. AFTER WEAKENING OVER LAND…THE CYCLONE COULD REGAIN SOME STRENGTH WHEN IT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL…WHICH INCLUDES THE EFFECTS OF INTERACTION WITH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE DISTURBANCE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS FOUND A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF AROUND 1004 MB. BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT…ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE AT THIS TIME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF WIND DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT AND SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS.
THE DEPRESSION IS VERY CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH…AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION BEFORE IT REACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN A DAY OR SO. AFTER WEAKENING OVER LAND…THE CYCLONE COULD REGAIN SOME STRENGTH WHEN IT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL…WHICH INCLUDES THE EFFECTS OF INTERACTION WITH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
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