Hurricane Stocks

[Manchild1]

weather underground says a blend of the models is probably right - not to left not to right after passing the Yucatan

The initial motion is rather uncertain but the best estimate is
300/09. A mid-level ridge is forecast to persist over the Gulf of
Mexico for the next 48 to 72 hours...therefore a general
west-northwestward motion is expected during that time...which
should bring the cyclone across the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
southern Gulf of Mexico. After 72 hours the track model guidance
diverges...with one group...including the HWRF and GFDL...taking
the system on a more northerly or northeasterly track. A second
group of guidance...including the GFS...ECMWF and NOGAPS keeps the
system on a more westerly track over the southern Gulf of Mexico.
The official forecast is a blend of these two.