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Re: just_an_ant post# 137512

Thursday, 06/24/2010 11:59:13 PM

Thursday, June 24, 2010 11:59:13 PM

Post# of 241056
Challenge accepted ...

Our "...picks for capital gains..." are to Sell wnbd Short ,
Every time it fades back 20% , AFTER DOUBLING (or more) ;
and Cover AFTER it Fades to 20% ABOVE the PRE-Doubling price .

After covering + profitting ,
(33% profit on an 80% Retraced Double) ,
(71% profit on an 80% Retraced Triple ) ,
just wait , risklessly , for another Double+ .

If/when it happens again ,
just replay the Double+/Fade20%/Short/Fade80%ofPump/Cover .
In the good-ole-days , wnbd would do it ~4 times per year ,
but lately , wnbd can't seem to be able to double anymore .

Here's the simplified math :

Assume wnbd drops to a closing low of $0.0050 ,
and then doubles [or triples] to $0.0100 [or $0.0150] ,
and then fades 20% back down to $0.0080 [or $0.0120] ;
Then Short , ASAP , at the Bid , at $0.0080 [or $0.0120] ,
and wait for the 80% Retracement to $0.0060 [or $0.0070] ,
Then Cover , for a cashed-out profit of $0.0020 [or $0.0050] .

For the Double/Fade , the "buy" [Cover] was at $0.0060 ,
and the "sell" [Short] was at $0.0080 ; for a 33% profit .

For the Triple/Fade , the "buy" [Cover] was at $0.0070 ,
and the "sell" [Short] was at $0.0120 ; for a 71% profit .

It's ~riskless , because , Shorters wait until After the Highs
and Lows are confirmed , by giving up a 20% cushion ;

Whereas , Long traders have to guess at their low buys
and their high sells , and ~always miss the peaks and valleys
by more than 20% ; And , usually even lose [~90% on pinks] .

Furthermore , Longs are riskfully In their pinkys ~full time ;
Whereas , Shorters are only In+Out for ~2 weeks , ~twice/year ,
which is only ~2x2/52 = ~8% of the time ; and risklessly
earning interest for 92% of the time .

By the way ; it's easy to short Any pinky , off-shore ,
especially if the pinky is a Non-U.S. 'company' , like wnbd .

P.S. ; Enjoying the never-ending non-factual 'discussion'
Regarding : The wnbd DiRTV ACTUAL SHIPPED-OUT SALES #s , vs
The ORDER #s for ALL of Hawthorn's ACTIVE INFOMERTIALS .

IOO , based on Independently Verifiable + Real + Paid-For DD ,
ONLY THE SHIPPING #s COUNT as wnbd 'sales' , and they were
LESS THAN 10% OF HAWTHORN'S ORDERS during the wnbd Trial ,
and Many will be Returned , when the $28-buyers discover that
the 30 ounce wnbd sells retail/'worldwide' for $8-$10 .
[ And , many/most of those ONLY ~200 DiRTV Trial 'sales'
were 1-timers , to some of the ~750 wnbd boardmarkers . ]

Averaging-Down is profitable for shorters only ,
[ And All pinky/penny CEO's + Brokers + M&M's ] .