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Re: Alex G post# 104

Saturday, 06/12/2010 4:25:10 PM

Saturday, June 12, 2010 4:25:10 PM

Post# of 328
Election Cycle Returns

http://www.decisionpoint.com/tac/ORD.html
Below is the performance chart for the market for each quarters of the four year Presidential cycle, (Courtesy www.Hussmanfund.com). The weakest period in this four year cycle starts in the second quarter of the second year (Starts now) and runs into October of this second year. What is interesting is that the strongest performance for the market starts in the four quarter of the second year and runs for over year. To get that kind of rally the sentiment might be pushed to extreme in the opposite direction that was recorded in April (Extreme bullish sentiment). In a nutshell the cycle suggests downtrend into September, October and then bullish for 12 months starting around October.



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