Both counts start from the April '10 high as the end of the bear market rally. Neither count has been invalidated.
Bullish: Late may rally to present is a double zigzag wave 2 bounce. More rally ahead for the next week. This would result in a fibonacci time ratio about 60%
Bearish: Wave 3.3.3.. Down is underway. The 1+ day bounce is sufficient time proportionality.
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