National Storm Management Inc (NSMG)

[Manchild1]

VIGOROUS ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE DEVELOPMENT THIS EARLY - A PORTEND OF THINGS TO COME

It is a sign of what lies ahead. A strong and quite vigorous tropical wave is about to pass through the Windward Islands. Its effects will be felt by means of showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds. The NHC has outlined the region with its low probability circle, and in fact, gives it almost no chance of additional development. What makes this feature interesting is the fact that it is flaring up like this in early June. We would normally not look for Atlantic tropical wave development until later in July or August. Warmer than normal sea surface temps, a more moist overall environment and lower than normal pressures at the surface are all likely coming together slowly but surely to give credibility to the forecasts of an extremely active season. We'll watch this wave of low pressure as it traverses the Caribbean Sea over the next few days. Some computer models are showing hints of more organization once it reaches the western Caribbean or east Pacific.