FDA Denies Teva's Citizens Petition, Eliminates Bear Case for M-356
• Bottom Line: The FDA denied Teva's second Citizen's Petition (CP) against generic Copaxone approvals within the statutory 180 day review timeframe. We view this as an incremental positive for MNTA as it may indicate the FDA's willingness to move forward with the M-356 ANDA review. Reiterate Outperform rating and $16 fair value in 12 months.
• The FDA denied the specific requests in Teva's CP regarding the approvability of any glatiramer acetate injection ANDA because it would be premature to decide on matters which are still in the process of being reviewed. As laid out in the response letter, Teva claimed that it is generally impossible for any ANDA sponsor to demonstrate that its version of the drug contains the "same" active ingredient as Teva's branded Copaxone due to the product's complexity.
• The agency denied the CP because it has "broad discretion" in determining whether an ANDA applicant has submitted sufficient information upon which it can reasonably conclude that the generic drug product's active ingredient is the "same as" that of the branded version. "Same active ingredient" also does not mean "complete chemical identity", according to the FDA and will be determined on a case-by-case basis.
• The FDA's response letter contained an unusually detailed explanation as to why the CP was rejected. We believe the FDA's detailed explanation and language as to how it determines "sameness" of generic and branded biologics may indicate a new proactive direction of the agency to move forward with complex generics such as M-356 and biosimilars in general. This also dispels the bear case that the FDA would never approve M-356.
• Teva likely submitted this second CP as an additional strategy to stall MNTA's M-356 ANDA which is currently under review by the FDA. Recall, an earlier CP claiming generic versions of Copaxone to be unsafe was rejected in March '09 (see our note from 03/27/2009).
• Next up: Teva and MNTA's patent infringement lawsuit will likely go to trial in 2H10. MNTA attended a Marksman hearing in 1Q and a judge ruling is expected anytime this year. We expect this suit to go to trial, although there is a small possibility that summary judgment is granted.
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