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Re: Traderfan post# 173

Monday, 04/26/2010 10:10:47 AM

Monday, April 26, 2010 10:10:47 AM

Post# of 214
I'm sure we will see some weakness in the common and warrants of China Ceramics until the market determines whether the tightening policies will dampen or kill the housing industry. I personally think this tightening will help because it hopefully is eliminating the threat of a problematic overheating industry. I don't know how much the company will be affected by the policies because tiles are used in renovations and reconstructions, plus the government is also building 3 million affordable homes for it's residents. So with earthquake reconstruction, an increasing number of renovations due to less-than-stellar quality control in the industry, and the affordable housing contruction I think China Ceramics will still be busy, it's just tough to determine future sales numbers.

I don't know if CCLTF will grow at it's proposed 30% growth rate, but I'm not worried at all with my large warrant position. A two and a half year expiration date allows for a lot of patience, plus the value is way too compelling with the common selling at 3x trailing earnings with potential uplisting this year.

If the warrants dip a lot I will be a buyer.


-Adam

"Impatience is the companion of the doubting mind" Unknown

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