2. Something or things happen, but they are small enough to be taken in stride. (~60% chance, IMHO)
3. Something big happens. (~10% chance, IMHO) <<
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In my opinion...
1) Nothing = 90%. These are gutless bastards. They'll attack when we're least expecting it, not when we're on highest alert. If they're captured before killing themselves...no alah.
2) Something 5-10%. Plenty of copy-cats unfortunately.
3) Something big = 1-2%. Either way it's even less likely that it'll be on the scale of last year's attack.
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