Somaxon Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SOMX)

[murocman]

Will be interesting to see how this trades going into approval. Given the previous track record with the FDA, I wouldn't be surprised to see it go mostly sideways.

I also wouldn't be surprised to see the PR come on Thursday or Friday given this is a re-submission.

Assuming it gets approved, I'm thinking $6-10 is probably a reasonable target out of the shoot. If a partnering deal follows immediately I think we could see $15-20 in short order. If not, price will probably pull back to the $5-6 range.

I think I read where the worldwide insomnia drug market is somewhere around $6.4B and the U.S. is 75% of the market. If Silenor could get 10% of the market with the right partner, a reasonable market cap would be around $500M (which is where I get the $20 target).

All MHO but I'm in for the ride, as I think this gets approved, and the biggest move doesn't come until the partnering deal is announced.

GLTA,

Murocman