The way I see it.
By: salvarai
18 Nov 2004, 11:05 PM EST
Msg. 2942 of 2943
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Luchesse, interesting post with a good balance of optimism and realism. I would like to point out in return where we seem to diverge slightly, and it's mainly regarding the timeline of events.
Firstly, I believe news about the injunction on Artec are going to come before the end of this month, i.e. in two weeks time at most. If granted, this injunction will likely secure the court's decision at the federal court in January, and investor will react to the injunction very positively.
Secondly, I also believe HTDS would already be in a position to announces very positive clinical results, but is waiting for the injunction to be granted. That way, the clinical results won't be shadowed by any serious threat of patent rights removal, etc.
Thirdly, I am not sure if I correctly interpret your statement in that regard, but current clinical testings are done on human cells, not mice (as the toxicity tests from last fall were indeed). Which means that whatever the results are going to show, it is the true effect of Tubercin on human cells.
Fourthly, referring back to a conversation I had with Dr Shapiro last May, he clearly stated that in case Tubercin actually showed very clear and significant results on one or several diseases, their institute had the federal recognition that would allow a fast track FDA approval: it can be as short as 3-6 months if justified.
Fifthly, C.King's objective is not to go through all 3 phases of FDA approval testing: he clearly stated in news releases, and repeated to me in conversations, that once results are out, there will be pharmaceutical companies interested in taking over Tubercin to the next level. Meaning: Buy out.
So for all these reasons (and others...) I believe that we are already entering the stretch home here. As soon as injunction/court cases are cleared and positive clinical results are out, we should expect significant changes in the share value of HTDS. And not long term. I myself, believe Christmas is going already to be very nice this year.
