Wednesday, January 27, 2010 12:53:36 PM
Facts per Dean:
600k per machine with service contract
ramp up to 100 machines after one year
margin on the machine is 50%
Variables:
First year sales: 200 (conservative, there is pent up demand he said)
200 x 600 = 120 million
120 x .30 income margin (conservative since the gross margin is 50%)
40 million in income / 375 mm shares = .11 cents/share or
a P/E of 10x = 1.10.
Now a buyout or a PEG ratio could make this look cheap.
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