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Friday, 11/13/2009 4:05:07 PM

Friday, November 13, 2009 4:05:07 PM

Post# of 67010
junior's why there slow!
http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page66?oid=92068&sn=Detail

However, when you're buying a mid-tier, you're buying a near-term produced ounce, so mid-tiers normally trade at about 0.7:1. Over the past couple of years, the juniors have been moving only about 0.2:1 at best. So, really, zero correlation. Junior equities wouldn't really respond to the gold price, up or down, because junior gold companies don't represent gold, they represent management, land, cash and so on. In other words, they represent a venture that is trying to find economic gold and therefore will trade like a stock and not like gold. So when gold prices are consistently rising, stocks generally don't do well and gold juniors, because they don't represent gold, are no exception unless they actually made a discovery. Now people want to get in on the action of gold, and the best way to is not in the majors; you might as well buy physical gold. The mid-tiers and juniors will see the true appreciation because we have had the equity markets and the gold markets going up at the same time, which doesn't normally happen.

With gold where it is, juniors are more likely to retain equity prices when investors are taking profits. So while the market is treading water or getting these initial stages of a downturn, funds are going to flow somewhere. People are going into something that still has some sizzle and that's the junior golds and some other categories as well. So I still think there's appreciation in the gold juniors as a basket. That said, if the market corrects 50%-70%, everything goes down. When the tide goes out, all the boats come down

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