Friday, October 15, 2004 8:12:27 PM
>>...nice try but it doesn't work. You said: "The resulting slope of the line is extrapolated assuming that present conditions continue."
That's exactly what speculation is....assuming...
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ALL extrapolations are based on assumptions. If you extrapolate the rotation of the Earth into tomorrow to calculate tomorrow's sunrise, you must assume that the present conditions that affect that rotation will remain continuous. Yet tomorrow's sunrise time is hardly a speculation.
>>And especially not true when your analysis intentionally precludes and excludes any possibility of additional DNAP products (drug classifiers and/or new drugs) possibly coming to market in the near future (1 to 2 years).
cosmic, my analysis precluded nothing. I merely extrapolated the present conditions into the future. Hopefully many positive things will happen, but to count those things as a given is pure speculation. Especially given the track record so far.
Please don't lecture me about what 'intelligent investors' do. One has to establish some credibility in a specialty before one can pontificate. lol
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