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Re: Estimated_Prophet post# 411

Saturday, 10/09/2004 8:28:14 AM

Saturday, October 09, 2004 8:28:14 AM

Post# of 33450
This is wadegarrets earnings guidance for almi which is also what the company has given for guidance on their website or at least close to it...I would think with future earnings a continued move up is reasonable...

This is how I value ALMI at present

Here is a minimum valuation. If ALMI sells 10K tons a year at $450/ton with a total cost associated of $183/ton, then the EPS would be $.07 (based on 37M shares outstanding). Now, the potential would be for at least double that the second year, and another 50% or more the third year- and this is not even taking into account the nano side of things were the clay could go for much higher prices. So what is a stock worth that makes $.07 EPS and could easily double that for the next couple years? I say at present, assuming there are no major obstacles, the stock is worth $1.00. However, if the nano side of things would go over big, then the potential could be much greater. This could be a wild ride for the next six months.


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