Thursday, October 01, 2009 11:23:13 AM
Revenue shrank from $116 to $88 thousand. With 53.6 million shares outstanding, revenue per share TTM is only $71.1.
Six month revenue ended June 30 was $214,000. That's a yearly run rate of $428,000.
This is only $0.008 revenue per share (yeah, less than a penny). With a hypothetical 10% profit margin (HSWI is actually lost 6 cents per share from Jan to Jun 2009, about 7 times revenue!), a P/E ratio of 738. Wow!
Ok, let's try to be fair and see what HSWI could potentially do with its assets. (BTW, they have about $14 million sitting in their cash accounts. That's a value of $0.26 per share. Admittedly, a comfortable cushion.) Now assume, they could generate a very nice 10% ROA (Google has 14%, Yahoo! 0.10%, HSWI currently -72%).
That would be a hypothetical $2.1 million net profit, which translates into $0.04 per share. Award a P/E multiple of 10 (pretty nice for a non-existing hypothetical profit of a cash burning company) and you get $0.40 of (highly optimistic) value per share. HSWI is worth much less.
This is not exactly a candidate for shorting, however, buyers beware!
Sources: SEC filings & SmartMoney.com
Disclaimer: I meanwhile carry a short position of 4000 shares.
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