InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 29
Posts 9421
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 04/30/2006

Re: HALF FULL GLASS post# 23034

Tuesday, 09/29/2009 7:05:46 PM

Tuesday, September 29, 2009 7:05:46 PM

Post# of 30387
Half full stated: "This is very favorable data, and these early stage biotech ideas tend to trade on data of this kind."

It is just not possible that a marker like CEA or CA125 if used in general screening and will indicate positive for conditions other than Colon or ovarian cancer respectively, would somehow become a very selective marker for general screening by combining it with a marker that has no selectiviy at all and end up with a test that has ZERO false positives. That is just not possible.

You can easily see the design of this study.

X number of known colon cancer samples and Y number of known normal samples. No known normal samples tested positive for both RECAF and CEA. Specificity = 100%.

Of the known colon cancer samples, both RECAF and CEA were positive on 92% of the colon cancer samples. Sensitivity = 92%.

Now, lets toss in a few breast cancer samples, rectal cancer samples or other cancers where CEA might test positive into the canser samples. How many of those will test positive with CEA. Probalby quite a few. How many would test positive with RECAF. Probably quite a few.

Now, does a combination of CEA and RECAF screen for colon cancer alone? Not by a longshot. It would screen for any conditon that would give both a positive for RECAF and a positive for CEA and would again leave the doctor unsure as to the location of any cancer.

Half full stated: No. We are far from done with the NEWS!!!
Can you hear the big one coming?"

He seems to be full of undisclosed inside information.




Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.