National Storm Management Inc (NSMG)

[Manchild1]

FROM HURRICANE TRACK.COM

There is one area that bears watching over the next several days. It is associated with a strong tropical wave that moved off the African coast a couple of days ago. It was preceded by a powerful SAL outbreak- very dry, dusty air. However, this layer of stable air is dissipating and is thus giving way to more favorable conditions over the warm waters of the east Atlantic. The NHC has circled the area with their yellow "low chance" designation and indicate that slow development is possible as the system tracks to the WNW. Taking a look at the global computer models, the GFS seems to latch on to this system to some extent while other models are not really doing much with it. As we know, conditions have been brutal for the development and sustainment of tropical systems this season resulting in only two hurricanes thus far- well below the long term average of six. We'll see what this feature does. There is some potential here and if it does not develop rapidly and curve out to sea, it could come fairly far to the west over the next week

MANCHILD