vic12 .....pps
First, this is all "In my opinion" & is based on the only thing I have to compare it with....what recently happened w/ BEHL's pps.
Here's my "guess"(nobody knows for sure) of what could happen if we got the same (comparably) good news that BEHL got when they popped on (+/-) 7/25(?) & people reacted in the same way to that news. This is not accounting for any R/S, if applicable. There are a lot of factors that could influence this one way or another , like:A; people not being allowed to buy by the current troublesome ScotTrade buy restrictions affecting a 'lot' of stocks right now (dump ST if you've got them)....B; we don't know what 'our' "float" is (O/S less 'restricted shares')....C; popularity & exposure....etc.
BEHL has an O/S of +/- 630mm (w/a 348mm float)
INCL has an O/S of +/- 2.1bb (3 1/3X as much as BEHL's O/S)
BEHL popped to (+/-) .13cents when their big news came thru in July
Using these numbers (& not counting variables), the following 'could'(no guarantees) be possible;
**Based strictly on O/S counts:
.13cents (their pop) divided by 3.33(the difference in our O/S counts) = .039cents
**Based on their float vs. our O/S (w/no known INCL float...not likely)
.13cents divided by 6(the difference in our O/S vs. their float) = .0216
**Not knowing all factors involved, it 'might' well end up somewhere in between those 2 numbers. Also; BEHL has currently declined to +/- 40% of what they popped to in July , probably in response to realistic 'valuations' vs. initial 'popularity' (something to consider).
Like I said; I could be all wet on this and I am by no means an expert so, take this as you will, its all just my opinion....and, I'm sure others will be quick to correct any egregious errors I made in these calcs. (i've got no problem w/ that, I'm still learning myself).
GLTall of us !!!
