Tornado Alley (PROG)

[F6]

IVAN is BACK

TROPICAL STORM WARNING
GMZ335-355-375-TXZ200-213-214-237-238-230400-

TROPICAL STORM IVAN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
900 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2004

...TROPICAL STORM IVAN FORMS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST FROM NORTH OF SARGENT TO HIGH ISLAND...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKE BY RESIDENTS
OF LIBERTY...CHAMBERS...HARRIS...GALVESTON...AND BRAZORIA COUNTIES OF
TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA
COAST FROM NORTH OF SARGENT TO MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

...STORM INFORMATION...

.LOCATION...
AT 6 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 380 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

.MOVEMENT...
TROPICAL STORM IVAN IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT NEAR 14 MPH.

.WINDS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY
NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS LIVING ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING FOR
POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM WINDS. OUTSIDE OBJECTS THAT CAN BECOME
MISSILES OF DESTRUCTION SHOULD BE PUT INSIDE TO HELP PREVENT DAMAGE
TO WINDOWS AND DOORWAYS. PERSONS LIVING ALONG THE COAST AND NEAR
GALVESTON BAY AT ELEVATIONS OF 6 FEET ABOVE MSL OR LESS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE SURGE FLOODING DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. SOME
ROADS NEAR THE COAST AND NEAR GALVESTON BAY COULD BECOME COVERED
WITH WATER EARLY THURSDAY MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDE LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.
MODERATE AND PERSISTENT EAST WINDS TONIGHT WILL CAUSE TIDES TO
CONTINUE TO RISE REACHING LEVELS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
EARLY THURSDAY. TIDE LEVELS COULD REACH UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TO
THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL LATE THURSDAY. AFTER IVAN
MAKES LANDFALL WINDS WILL PROBABLY BECOME MORE OFFSHORE AND TIDES
WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH ON FRIDAY.

LOCATION       HIGH TIDE TIME     NORMAL LEVEL      PREDICTED LEVEL 
  
 CLEAR LAKE     THU 9:41 AM        1.3 FEET          3.4 FEET 
  
 EAGLE POINT    THU 7:30 AM        1.4 FEET          3.7 FEET 
  
 FREEPORT       THU 2:52 AM        2.5 FEET          4.3 FEET 
 FRI 3:13 AM        2.5 FEET          3.5 FEET 
  
 GALVESTON      THU 3:36 AM        2.0 FEET          4.0 FEET 
 CHANNEL        FRI 3:57 AM        1.9 FEET          3.0 FEET 
  
 JAMAICA        THU 6:14 AM        1.4 FEET          4.0 FEET 
 BEACH          FRI 6:35 AM        1.4 FEET          2.5 FEET 
  
 PLEASURE PIER  THU 1:50 AM        2.9 FEET          5.0 FEET 
 FRI 2:33 AM        2.9 FEET          4.0 FEET 
  
 PORT BOLIVAR   THU 3:50 AM        2.0 FEET          4.3 FEET 
 FRI 4:11 AM        1.9 FEET          3.4 FEET 
  
 SAN LUIS PASS  THU 3:27 AM        1.7 FEET          3.7 FEET 
 FRI 3:48 AM        1.6 FEET          2.6 FEET 
  
 NOTE: WATER LEVELS ARE REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS CURRENTLY ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST ARE RUNNING BETWEEN
15 AND 20 MPH FROM THE EAST. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
TONIGHT AND SLOWLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE UPPER TEXAS COAST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST NEAR WHERE THE STORM MAKES
LANDFALL.

...RAINFALL...
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN REACHING THE UPPER
TEXAS COAST BEFORE NOON ON THURSDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL SLOWLY
SPREAD INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON
WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE
NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL LATE THURSDAY.

FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE WEB PAGE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM IVAN STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 PM
CST.

$$

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/wwa/maps/summary/FWD.html

--------------------

000
WTNT34 KNHC 222246
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 67
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2004

...IVAN REGENERATES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS.

AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE
89.3 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO
THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AND IVAN WILL LIKELY REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
BEFORE LANDFALL.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 1008
MB...29.77 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS HAVE BEEN RUNNING .5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. IVAN WILL GENERATE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE THESE EXISTING WATER LEVELS.
THEREFORE... WATER ELEVATIONS OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF IVAN.

REPEATING THE 6 PM CDT POSITION...26.9 N... 89.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/222246.shtml