Nice from Yahoo
OK, first the facts and recent PR.
185 M shares right now, 1.11B after the forward split.
They claim GOTV subsidiary could see revenues of $50M by the end of 2010.
Current share price (last close): $0.016
4 scenarios:
Scenario 1)
This is a complete scam, and shareholders lose everything or most of it. I intend to call them tomorrow to check further on that and most likely will check with Amino to see if they do have a deal with GOTV, as Amino is a very serious leader in that sector and on GOTV site they say they use Amino machines.
But If it's not a scam, just what could share price be? Let's imagine GOTV does make some money, to estimate pps, I'll use a P/E of 10. And for each scenarios, I'll estimate for 5, 10 and 20% profit margin.
All following scenarios will have a table like thing with the following structure:
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Profit margin : Profits : estimated share price post split : estimated share price pre split to compare with today's price.
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Scenario 2)
It's not a scam, but they have a hard time reaching customers and only get 10% of their 100,000 clients target. So 10,000 clients and only $5M in revenues.
5%: $250K $0.0023 $0.0136
10%: $500K $0.0045 $0.0273
20%: $1M $0.0091 $0.0545
Scenario 3)
It goes decent, but they only get 50% of their projected client base. 50,000 clients and only $25M in revenues.
5%: $1.25M $0.0114 $0.0682
10%: $2.5M $0.0227 $0.1364
20%: $5M $0.0455 $0.2727
Scenario 4)
They meet their prevision of 100,000 clients and $50M in revenues.
5%: $2.5M $0.0227 $0.1364
10%: $5M $0.0455 $0.2727
20%: $10M $0.0909 $0.5455
So, if it's not a scam, and if they get more than the worst scenario of 10,000 clients with a 5% profit margin, it would justify a share price that is easily above current value. If I get confirmation from ATNO's existence as a serious business, I'll drop a couple Ks in it tomorrow and maybe even order an IPTV set.
